Nova Minerals Corp (NVA) Valuation

Valuation

Model-based estimates, not advice. The DCF is the discounted-cash-flow value per share; compare it with the price, not as a target.

DCF fair value

-84.4%

$0.73

vs $4.65 price

Levered DCF

$0.67

After debt service

Piotroski score

1 / 9

Weak

Altman Z-score

0.15

Distress zone

Rating

Overall 2 / 5

Ratios by fiscal year

Margins and yields are shares of revenue, equity or price; multiples are ×.

Metric	FY2026	FY2025	FY2024	FY2023	FY2022	FY2021	FY2020	FY2019
P/E	-6.45×	-9.93×	-1.88×	-2.5×	0.71×	-63.6×	-32.01×	-40.68×
P/B	7.38×	1.07×	0.34×	0.27×	0.25×	4.25×	8.66×	15.5×
P/S	0×	0×	0×	0×	0×	0×	0×	0×
EV / EBITDA	-4.09×	-16.84×	-7.57×	-4.22×	-0.7×	-51.25×	-33.89×	-34.22×
Gross margin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Operating margin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Net margin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Current ratio	3.13×	3.49×	1.08×	5.49×	5.38×	3.66×	1.52×	2×
Debt / equity	0.14×	0×	0.08×	0.06×	0×	0.02×	0×	0×
Interest coverage	0×	-9.5×	-4.03×	-3.29×	0×	0×	0×	-857.77×
Dividend yield	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Payout ratio	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Key metrics by fiscal year

Metric	FY2026	FY2025	FY2024	FY2023	FY2022	FY2021	FY2020	FY2019
Return on equity	-114.3%	-10.8%	-18.0%	-10.9%	35.9%	-6.7%	-27.1%	-38.1%
Return on invested capital	-102.6%	-5.9%	-4.9%	-3.5%	-4.9%	-7.1%	-21.8%	-28.3%
Return on assets	-56.7%	-9.8%	-15.2%	-9.4%	32.0%	-5.5%	-19.7%	-22.2%
Free cash flow yield	-7.0%	-7.2%	-12.9%	-11.5%	-15.9%	-1.6%	-2.2%	-2.0%
Earnings yield	-15.5%	-10.0%	-53.4%	-40.1%	141.0%	-1.6%	-3.1%	-2.5%
Enterprise value	$209.7M	$100.6M	$34.4M	$16M	$3.3M	$184.3M	$130.1M	$105.5M
Net debt / EBITDA	0.67×	1.52×	-0.86×	3.36×	4.49×	4.08×	1.09×	0.33×
Cash conversion cycle (days)	-1,456	-1,887	-1,112	-1,929	-4,161	-6,076	-7,984	-3,687